Jack Morris is a candidate on the National Baseball Hall of Fame ballot for the 13th year. The Class of 2012 will be announced on Jan. 9. You can watch the announcement live at 2 p.m. ET on an MLB Network simulcast on MLB.com.
Jack Morris spent years trying to lend his support to get his friend and fellow former Twin Bert Blyleven voted into the Hall of Fame. Now that Blyleven has had his day in Cooperstown, it's Morris' turn for his own struggle.
It won't be quite that easy. But more than ever, it looks winnable. And if Morris is going to get into the Hall on the strength of an argument, it's the fact that he consistently won games.
It's a topic that drives fans of more specialized stats into fits, and those who focus on ERA into near hysterics. While those who focus on championships are encouraged, those who believe postseason performance is too small of a sample size to be a determining factor don't feel too good about his case, either. And those who believe a judgment on a player's Hall credentials shouldn't change over time have had a hard time with the second look that Morris' case has received.
But with passion on both sides of Morris' case, it's a hot topic. With Blyleven now in the Hall and Morris running out of chances, the next few years will make it hotter than ever.
Years ago, when barely a quarter of Hall of Fame voters were putting Morris' name on the ballot, he was nonchalant about his chances.
"I've come to the realization that if I don't make it, then I don't make it," Morris said at the time. "The only thing that changes in my life is that I'd get a lot more money, and when I walked by, people would say, 'There goes a Hall of Famer.'"
He couldn't have imagined that last statement would take on this kind of debate. He was hoping he could get a rise in vote totals as time went on. He's now closer than ever to the Hall, but he still has a ways to go.
Morris' vote percentage has risen in each of the last 10 years, from a low of 19.6 percent in his second year of eligibility to last year's mark of 53.5 percent.
A candidate must receive 75 percent of the vote from Baseball Writers' Association of America members to gain election to the National Baseball Hall of Fame.
Second baseman Roberto Alomar (90 percent) and Blyleven (79.7 percent) earned their ticket to Cooperstown on the 2011 ballot. Morris and former Reds shortstop Barry Larkin (62.1 percent) are the top returning vote-getters from last year's ballot. Results of the 2012 election will be announced on Monday, Jan. 9.
Blyleven and Jim Rice provide the examples of the better-late-than-never Hall of Famer. Blyleven was inducted in his 14th year of eligibility on the BBWAA ballot; he didn't top the 60-percent mark in voting until his 12th year. Rice was inducted in his 15th and final possible year on the ballot. He, too, didn't top 60 percent until his 12th year.
Morris is in his 13th year on the ballot. If there's going to be a major movement in his vote totals, it's going to have to come now. And it's going to take the acceptance that Morris' standing as one of the best pitchers of his era and one of the most accomplished postseason pitchers of the last 40 years is worth a spot, even though his stats don't compare well with all-time greats.
It's not just that Morris was the winningest pitcher of the 1980s. It's that nobody else was close. Morris won 162 games from 1980 to 1989, according to research on baseball-reference.com. The next-closest total was Blue Jays great Dave Stieb with 140, essentially a great season's worth of wins as a difference.
Without question, wins can't be a sole measure of a pitcher's Hall of Fame resume. It's still worth noting that every Hall-eligible pitcher who has led a previous decade in wins has been inducted, a group that includes Jim Palmer, Juan Marichal, Warren Spahn, Hal Newhouser, Lefty Grove, Burleigh Grimes, Walter Johnson and Christy Mathewson.
As longtime baseball columnist and Hall of Fame voter Joe Posnanski pointed out a year ago, Morris had a dozen 15-win seasons. Just nine pitchers in Major League history have more, and eight are in the Hall of Fame, with Greg Maddux on his way soon. Three of the four other pitchers with 12 seasons of 15 wins are in, too.
They weren't always statistically dominant, but they were successful.
The main argument against Morris, as it always has been, is the earned-run average. No Hall of Famer has been inducted with an ERA as high as Morris' mark of 3.90. For his career, his ERA was just slightly better than the league average, and he never finished better than fifth in ERA for a season. He also never won a Cy Young award.
Nevertheless, pick out any pitcher in the 1980s to pitch a must-win game, and it's hard to go against Morris. He never showed that better than on the postseason game. His Game 7 performance in the 1991 World Series remains the stuff of legend, 10 scoreless innings to outduel John Smoltz. He gave up three Atlanta runs over 23 innings for that series, and put up a 2.23 ERA for that entire postseason. He was even better for the Tigers in 1984, with two complete games in the Fall Classic and seven innings of one-run ball in the ALCS.
His performances weren't nearly as stellar in Toronto in 1992, his career nearly complete, but he still picked up his third World Series title with his third different franchise. In the process, he completed his legacy as a winner.
Whether he's a Hall of Famer has been debated ad nauseam. With ballots coming and Blyleven out of the picture, that debate is about to pick up once again.
